Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.025833 0.027964 0.030098 0.032393 0.034787 0.037206 0.039833
2025-08-03 0.022061 0.025461 0.028989 0.032904 0.037111 0.041481 0.046347
2025-08-10 0.019367 0.023473 0.027846 0.032811 0.038257 0.044017 0.050537
2025-08-17 0.017206 0.021792 0.026788 0.032573 0.039028 0.045955 0.053898
2025-08-24 0.015589 0.020552 0.026073 0.032576 0.039937 0.047933 0.057201
2025-08-31 0.014095 0.019329 0.025268 0.032376 0.040530 0.049485 0.059963
2025-09-07 0.012865 0.018321 0.024630 0.032292 0.041189 0.051056 0.062697
2025-09-14 0.011575 0.017154 0.023731 0.031839 0.041368 0.052038 0.064726
2025-09-21 0.010444 0.016106 0.022914 0.031427 0.041544 0.052976 0.066669
2025-09-28 0.009156 0.014782 0.021693 0.030473 0.041037 0.053086 0.067631
2025-10-05 0.008748 0.014564 0.021813 0.031116 0.042398 0.055341 0.071041
2025-10-12 0.008210 0.014140 0.021647 0.031390 0.043300 0.057051 0.073813
2025-10-19 0.007475 0.013443 0.021149 0.031284 0.043799 0.058357 0.076208
2025-10-26 0.007042 0.013146 0.021160 0.031819 0.045088 0.060616 0.079746
2025-11-02 0.006402 0.012511 0.020696 0.031727 0.045589 0.061925 0.082160
2025-11-09 0.005766 0.011836 0.020144 0.031494 0.045895 0.062983 0.084265
2025-11-16 0.005269 0.011331 0.019793 0.031496 0.046474 0.064356 0.086732
2025-11-23 0.004747 0.010748 0.019306 0.031300 0.046787 0.065395 0.088791
2025-11-30 0.004305 0.010256 0.018922 0.031218 0.047228 0.066576 0.091012
2025-12-07 0.003793 0.009607 0.018285 0.030774 0.047191 0.067162 0.092508
2025-12-14 0.003336 0.009011 0.017694 0.030370 0.047185 0.067770 0.094019
2025-12-21 0.002786 0.008192 0.016738 0.029435 0.046470 0.067486 0.094435
2025-12-28 0.002666 0.008143 0.016923 0.030066 0.047783 0.069711 0.097894